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Iraq's Kurdistan faces loss of oil-export autonomy

Location:

IRAQ/TURKEY

This threatens to end the KRI's oil export autonomy, handing Baghdad a major victory. The closure has taken 450,000 barrels per day (b/d) off the global oil market, raising oil…

Gulf states have limited ability to pressure Russia

Location:

GULF STATES

Russia's deepening military intervention in Syria has lent renewed urgency to Qatari and Saudi efforts to channel weaponry and support to Syria's faltering rebel groups.

Egypt will resist a Turkish-backed Libya deal

Location:

EGYPT

Egypt-Turkey relations.

Manama will struggle to vary its investor offering

Location:

BAHRAIN

The Economic Development Board (EDB), the country’s investment promotion agency, announced in March that its ‘golden licence’ scheme of incentives for local and foreign investors…

Saudi-Iraqi rapprochement will proceed gradually

Location:

IRAQ/SAUDI ARABIA

Last month, Saudi Arabia pledged to link Iraq up to its national grid to help address electricity shortfalls. Indeed, after years of frozen ties, Saudi Arabia has recently stepped…

Iran will attempt to maintain its leverage in Iraq

Location:

IRAQ/IRAN

The withdrawal plunged Iraqi politics into its deepest crisis since the war against Islamic State (IS) started in 2013. Moqtada al-Sadr’s failure to establish a majority…

Weaker AKP would reduce Turkish president's authority

Location:

TURKEY

The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) should easily get the most votes, but it faces a likely setback and a dent in its authority. Weakening support from its voters and…

Israel will leverage East Mediterranean assets

Location:

ISRAEL

The deal -- designed to allow Delek to focus on the larger Leviathan field -- highlights the growing commercial interest in East Mediterranean hydrocarbons. It also underlines the…

New alignment will help Iran’s foreign policy-making

Location:

IRAN

The inauguration of President Ibrahim Raisi’s administration in August 2021 marked an end to his predecessor Hassan Rouhani’s moderate foreign policy outlook. The new government…

Erdogan will exploit rifts within Turkish opposition

Location:

TURKEY

Imamoglu wishes to run for state president in 2028, possibly facing President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. His ambition to do so as leader of the main opposition People’s Republican…