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The EU will encounter obstacles in the South Caucasus

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CAUCASUS

This follows years of the region being regarded as of peripheral interest to Brussels. Nonetheless, relations have not always been smooth.

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Russian energy influence in Moldova will decline

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MOLDOVA

The decision to make Vestmodtransgaz the transmission system operator (TSO) will facilitate the overhaul of national gas utility MoldovaGaz. It will also deprive Russia of…

Influencing Iraq and Syria will have costs for Turkey

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TURKEY

Turkey's attempts to expand its military role in both Iraq and Syria are entangled with major shifts in its relations with the United States and Russia, and in its overall…

Prospects for the Gulf states in 2017

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PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for the Gulf states in 2017.

Russia has the edge in managed competition with Turkey

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RUSSIA/TURKEY

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

Turkish-Emirati easing will miss full rapprochement

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TURKEY/UAE

This was the culmination of months of backchannel talks between two of the Middle East’s bitterest rivals. It is intended to help reduce bilateral tensions and facilitate further…

Prospects for Syria to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for Syria to end-2018.

Russia's budget revenue forecast may prove optimistic

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RUSSIA

The Ministry of Finance is seeking new ways to boost federal revenues to fund rising military expenditure, as well as any pledges made during the forthcoming presidential election…

Egypt’s Israeli ties will persist despite war

Location:

EGYPT

It hosted an international conference on October 21 to promote diplomatic efforts to that end, and as the humanitarian crisis deepened, officials have ratcheted up their rhetoric…