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Lebanese Hezbollah will avoid post-Soleimani US fight

Location:

LEBANON

Mass popular protests forced the resignation of the previous coalition government and threatened Hezbollah's domestic political hegemony. This comes as the movement leads calls…

Tension on China’s inland frontier may grow over time

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CHINA

Moscow is a key partner in opposing Western hegemony, but Pakistan is the closest thing China has to an ally and depends increasingly on Chinese support. Territorial and economic…

Turkish attacks on Syrian Kurds will help Damascus

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SYRIA

This came days after the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) agreed that Russia and Syrian government forces could establish positions near Ain Issa, as a counter to…

Other forces may offset France's drawdown in Mali

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MALI

French troops on December 14 turned over a base in Timbuktu to the Malian Armed Forces amid a broader repositioning of forces to the French-led Task Force Takuba and tensions with…

Expansion of Mexico’s CJNG poses regional risks

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MEXICO

Police believe the cargo, worth some USD18.6mn, belonged to Mexico’s New Generation Jalisco Cartel (CJNG), a group that has expanded rapidly in the last decade to become one of…

Ethiopia’s conflict enters its most volatile phase

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ETHIOPIA

The country is now bracing for an escalating confrontation, despite intensified international efforts to end the conflict.

Western pushback against China will increase

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CHINA

Senior US officials see Communist-led China as the foremost threat to the United States. The Trump administration’s campaign against it spans the spectrum of government actions…

Russia's ties with North Korea will grow stronger

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RUSSIA

Russian technology has advanced North Korea's satellite development. Russia is strengthening economic, diplomatic and cultural ties with North Korea, although UN sanctions are an…

Ethiopia-Somaliland port deal may spur chain reaction

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ETHIOPIA/SOMALIA

The deal has angered Somalia, which still claims sovereignty over Somaliland, and has triggered reactions that could aggravate already volatile geopolitics in the Horn of Africa.

Mali's junta faces obstacles to north-south war

Location:

MALI

This followed the withdrawal of the UN’s MINUSMA peacekeeping contingent from the town. The fighting was followed later in the month by government airstrikes in the northern Kidal…