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EU’s Visegrad Four will not continue in current format

Location:

EU

Poland may have resolved its rule-of-law dispute with the EU, whereas part of Hungary’s ‘cohesion’ funds are frozen. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has driven a wedge between Poland…

Brexit vote will keep global markets volatile

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INTERNATIONAL

The UK vote on June 23 to leave the EU ('Brexit') startled global financial players, putting pressure on leading central banks to stabilise markets and keep bank funding flowing…

Brexit will further destabilise weak Greek economy

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GREECE

Economic uncertainty in Greece after Brexit.

Prospects for Turkey to end-2017

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PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for Turkey to end-2017.

Syrian-Lebanese food shortages will drive instability

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SYRIA/LEBANON

While Lebanon is experiencing what the World Bank dubbed “the worst economic crisis in more than a century”, civil war-torn Syria has been hit by one of the most severe droughts…

Politics will exacerbate Lebanon’s economic crises

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LEBANON

Lebanon also only has a caretaker government with restricted powers, at a time when the economy has contracted for four consecutive years. A staff-level IMF package worth USD3bn…

Radical nationalists could upset new Slovak government

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SLOVAKIA

Incoming Prime Minister Robert Fico’s gradual adoption of nationalism, aversion to migration and conspiracy theories have jeopardised Slovakia’s reputation as a reliable partner…

Prospects for Central America/Caribbean in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for Central America and the Caribbean in 2018.

Czech-Slovak rift may limit Visegrad effectiveness

Location:

CZECH/SLOVAKIA

The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

Move towards EU integration may split Central Europe

Location:

EU

EU reform’s likely consequences for the four Central European member states.