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Burundi assassination disrupts post-poll climate

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BURUNDI

A war hero from the 1993-2005 civil war, Nshirimana was the former head of the National Intelligence Service (SNR) and political-military advisor to President Pierre Nkurunziza…

Risks of political violence will rise in Bahrain

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BAHRAIN

Bahrain’s January 15 execution of three men convicted of killing an Emirati police officer prompted a resurgence of protests in some of the country’s marginalised Shia villages…

Prospects for Mexico in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Crime and insecurity continue to worsen, while protests over myriad issues are becoming more common. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) will probably have to forge a…

Burundi leader's defiance raises odds of escalation

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BURUNDI

At least 18 people are known to have died in a series of protests that followed President Pierre Nkurunziza's April 25 announcement that he would run for a third term in June 26…

Drug trafficking will worsen insecurity in Costa Rica

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COSTA RICA

Security officials blame the spike in violence on the influence of drug trafficking organisations (DTOs), which have long transited the country but which increasingly are vying to…

Politicisation weakens counterterrorism in Egypt

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EGYPT

Following the removal of Muslim Brotherhood President Mohammed Morsi in July 2013 the government launched a "war on terror" to tackle the longrunning salafi-jihadist insurgency in…

Counterterrorism threatens Tunisia's democratic gains

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TUNISIA

The impact of rising counterterrorism.

Rising Zimbabwean authoritarianism will dent Mnangagwa

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ZIMBABWE

A violent clampdown on the opposition and civil society groups in January and February prompted the US government to renew sanctions, while the UK government has put cooperation…

CVE programmes in the Sahel face an uncertain future

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SAHEL

Countering violent extremism in the Sahel.

Burundi's ruling party hardliners to consolidate power

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BURUNDI

The assassination is the latest in a series of violent incidents linked to an ongoing political crisis in the country. Results from a recent party congress of the ruling National…