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Somalia's political transition risks destabilisation

Location:

SOMALIA

Outlook for upcoming elections.

New Somali cabinet faces tough agenda pre-2016 polls

Location:

SOMALIA

The prime minister withdrew his first cabinet, proposed in early January, after opposition to the inclusion of figures from the outgoing government who were considered too closely…

South Sudan deal needs more buy-in from warring sides

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

On paper, the agreement -- mediated by the East African Inter-Governmental Authority for Development (IGAD) -- ends the conflict that has beset South Sudan since December 2013…

Ethiopia’s Amhara-Oromo unrest poses long-term problem

Location:

ETHIOPIA

However, at the same time, relations between Amharas and Oromos -- the country’s two largest ethnic groups, whose leaders are central to Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s domestic power…

Lull in violence offers hope for end to Ethiopia’s war

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Following a recent federal offensive, Tigrayan forces have largely withdrawn from neighbouring Amhara and Afar regions and federal authorities have said they will not pursue them…

Ethiopia’s Tigray region faces divisions and dilemmas

Location:

ETHIOPIA

This comes amid escalating turbulence in Tigray’s internal political dynamics, and worsening armed conflict between Amhara rebels and the federal army.

Ethiopia’s commitment to transitional justice may fade

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Ethiopia has campaigned for an end to the ICHREE’s mandate by touting a draft transitional justice policy as an alternative to international oversight.

Ethiopia-Egypt dam disputes may de-escalate

Location:

ETHIOPIA/EGYPT

The nearly completed mega-dam has been a source of immense friction between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan, but recent developments could create space to de-escalate.

AGOA exclusion adds to economic pressure on Ethiopia

Location:

ETHIOPIA

This adds to the bad economic news for the country, which recently had to postpone its second telecoms licensing round, is still waiting to restructure its foreign debt and faces…

Trump administration may disengage from South Sudan

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN/UNITED STATES

Though the United States and South Sudan have a long history, the surprise election of Donald Trump could shift Washington’s posture towards Juba. The deepening crisis there has…