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North-west Syria’s top rebel faction will keep control

Location:

SYRIA

The official, Abu Ahmed Zakour, was reportedly associated with Iraqi-born former HTS leading figure Abu Mariya al-Qahtani, who was arrested in August amid ‘spying’ accusations…

Yemenis face little prospects of major relief

Location:

YEMEN

Floods and heavy rains have made the situation worse. Meanwhile, attacks by the Huthis (the group in control of northern Yemen) obstruct shipping traffic to Hodeida port, which is…

Burkina Faso will tightly control Russian presence

Location:

BURKINA FASO

Meanwhile, junta leader Captain Ibrahim Traore’s increasingly evident desire to hang onto power indefinitely is having dire domestic repercussions, including a muzzled press, a…

Russian foreign influencer campaigns are evolving

Location:

INT

In recent months, multiple European intelligence services have issued warnings of increased efforts by Russian state organisations to undermine social cohesion in Europe via…

Andean crime expansion poses regional challenge

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

The crisis of insecurity in Ecuador, in particular, has raised concerns in neighbouring countries about the activities of drug trafficking mafias as well as other forms of illegal…

Syrian Kurds might lose their US military protection

Location:

SYRIA

The autonomous administration there is under increased pressure, exacerbated by the Gaza conflict, which has resulted in escalating confrontation between pro-Iranian Iraqi…

ISWAP may bounce back from setbacks in Nigeria

Location:

NIGERIA

ISWAP activity has spiked lately following over a year of pressure from security forces and rival jihadist faction, Jama’at Ahl al Sunna Lid’Dawati wal Jihad (JAS), the rump core…

Kenyan police will not solve Haiti’s security woes

Location:

HAITI/KENYA

The UN-backed operation would involve numerous countries, but Kenya would provide most of the personnel. Gangs have violently seized control of large areas of Haiti, particularly…

Militia abuses may increase in Niger

Location:

NIGER

This has sparked the growth of ethnic Zarma self-defence militias, known locally as ‘zankai’. These militias reflect broader communal self-defence efforts, often arising because…

The Palestinian Authority faces existential threats

Location:

PALESTINIANS

This followed the deaths of three Palestinians in an Israeli army incursion there on August 6, emphasising that the major two-day military assault on Jenin in early July failed to…