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Belarus will remain a dictatorship after Lukashenka

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BELARUS

Lukashenka has constructed a highly centralised and authoritarian system built on strong relations with Moscow. However, hopes for a more democratically inclined successor are…

Kuwait's political tensions will likely persist

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KUWAIT

This followed elections held on June 6 -- the tenth round since 2006. The polls resulted in the re-election of most members of the 2022 parliament, a show of support from voters…

Prospects for Russian politics in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for Russian politics in 2023.

Clashes among federal powers will intensify in Brazil

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BRAZIL

Bolsonaro has been increasing his attacks on senators leading a Senate-led inquiry into his administration’s handling of COVID-19 and on members of the Supreme Court and the TSE…

Burundi’s foreign overtures may have mixed impacts

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BURUNDI

In contrast to his predecessor’s open hostility towards the multilateral system, Ndayishimiye stressed the importance of international cooperation. However, Ndayishimiye will have…

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

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ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Zimbabwean transition faces competing power centres

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ZIMBABWE

The military intervention, which the army insists is not a 'coup', followed a week after Mugabe controversially dismissed Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa after allegations by…

Morocco’s weakened Islamists may yet win elections

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MOROCCO

Outlook for the PJD.

Modi’s party depends heavily on his leadership

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INDIA

Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is widely thought to have an unwritten rule that its leaders must retire from active politics at 75. The next general election is due in 2024…