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Guinea-Bissau’s political turmoil will linger

Location:

GUINEA-BISSAU

The country's political crisis has worsened over the past week, with rival administrations claiming power and the military appearing to throw its weight behind Embalo, a former…

Sudan border dispute may complicate Ethiopian politics

Location:

ETHIOPIA/SUDAN

The stand-off has reactivated historical tensions over a slice of territory known as the al-Fashaga triangle, which is historically claimed by Sudan but has been cultivated for…

Ethiopia and Eritrea will leverage border clash

Location:

ERITREA/ETHIOPIA

Tentative shifts in Eritrea's regional and global relations -- related to the conflict in Yemen and to Eritrean migration to Europe -- have raised the prospect that the country…

Ethiopia teeters on the brink of civil war

Location:

ETHIOPIA

These developments threaten to ignite a multi-dimensional civil war pitting Tigrayan against federal and Amhara regional forces.

West African maritime boundary disputes will grow

Location:

WEST AFRICA

MBDs regularly inflame dormant conflicts left over from colonial border-making, particularly as interest in new oil and gas exploitation grows. Such contestation can, in turn…

Sudan coup will trigger complex political standoff

Location:

SUDAN

Protest leaders are demanding a full transition to civilian rule. However, military leaders appear determined to retain power, setting the stage for an escalating confrontation.

Other forces may offset France's drawdown in Mali

Location:

MALI

French troops on December 14 turned over a base in Timbuktu to the Malian Armed Forces amid a broader repositioning of forces to the French-led Task Force Takuba and tensions with…

Migration concerns will stifle African free movement

Location:

AFRICA

Outlook for African free movement initiatives.

African secessionism will challenge national unity

Location:

AFRICA

An increasing number of African countries have secessionist movements that challenge existing state boundaries. However, few have the potential to secure their stated goals either…

Asian powers will vie for influence in East Africa

Location:

EAST AFRICA

Influence of Asian powers in Africa.