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Beijing-Washington ties will be competition-based

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Despite some positive short-term outcomes, the two sides’ read-outs reflect the structural nature of their competition and the limits that this places on cooperation.

Washington will prove a paper tiger on North Korea

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NORTH KOREA/US

Since its first nuclear test in 2006, North Korea has made steady progress in nuclear weapons technology. The July 4 ICBM test reflects its progress on delivery systems with…

Prospects for MENA green energy transition to 2030

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PROSPECTS 2030

High oil and gas prices have incentivised Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) hydrocarbon importers to accelerate their renewables build-outs, while exporters have deployed…

Iran deal failure would raise Middle Eastern tensions

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MIDDLE EAST

The chances of reviving the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA, nuclear deal) are slim. Western governments hope that an agreement will reduce regional tensions. Arab…

China’s COVID-19 aid may boost Mideast role, US clash

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MIDDLE EAST

This came during a visit by Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammed Javad Zarif, who was seeking to negotiate a 25-year strategic partnership and move forward with collaboration on a…

Delhi will step up outreach in Global South

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INDIA

In September, India hosted the G20 summit for the first time. It has throughout its G20 presidency sought to position itself as a bridge between developed economies and fellow…

Moroccan-Israeli ties will substantively advance

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MOROCCO

This came just after a June 18 visit by Israel's interior minister and several other high-level official trips designed to showcase the dividends of 'normalisation' to the region.

Gulf states’ quarrels may damage Israel in Gaza

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GULF STATES/ISRAEL

Informal ties between Israel and some of the Gulf Arab monarchies in economic, intelligence, and security affairs are growing, encouraged by the prospect of a US-mediated…

Israel-UAE deal will expand existing security ties

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ISRAEL/UAE

The US-brokered deal reflects Washington’s priorities in fostering regional partnerships against Iran and in upgrading Israel’s relationships in the Gulf (ostensibly as a step…

Israel may miss climate targets, despite rising risk

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ISRAEL

Public environmental awareness is relatively poor, though a February oil spill affecting beaches was a wake-up call. Green issues are also not a national political priority. Ahead…