To read the full version of this content please select one of the options below:

Washington will prove a paper tiger on North Korea

Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Significance

Since its first nuclear test in 2006, North Korea has made steady progress in nuclear weapons technology. The July 4 ICBM test reflects its progress on delivery systems with longer ranges and increased sophistication. Pyongyang routinely claims to possess the status as a full nuclear power with the ability to retaliate with strategic nuclear arms against a US attack.

Impacts

  • Beijing is likely to share Washington’s concerns about nuclear technology transfer by a more secure North Korean regime.
  • However, Washington is likely to position more rapid-strike conventional forces in the region, over China’s vociferous objections.
  • Once North Korea is confident in its deterrent, it may be willing to offer a cessation of testing in exchange for sanctions relief.
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica
Stay up to date
Sign up to the Expert Daily Briefings email alert and receive up-to-the-minute analysis of global events as they happen.
*If your university does not have access to Expert Briefings, visit our information page to find out more.