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Iran’s opposition will struggle to gain global support

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IRAN

Pahlavi, the son of the deposed Shah of Iran, is taking advantage of the increasing isolation of Iran from Western governments. However, a coherent opposition grouping that has…

Rivalry will shape Gulf states’ relations

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GULF STATES

The restoration of diplomatic relations ends a seven-year period of intense competition between the two countries. The deal is a diplomatic agreement and does not address the root…

Middle East outlook is poised on US election outcome

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MIDDLE EAST/US

The two candidates differ on the timing, scope and scale of US regional engagement. Biden was a strong critic of the policy changes Trump introduced regarding the 2015 Iran…

Prospects for Iran to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for Iran to end-2021.

US plan shifts discourse on Israel-Palestinian dispute

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ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS/US

His son-in-law and adviser Jared Kushner has spent over two years formulating the plan, which contains a series of proposals that heavily favour Israel, including the annexation…

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2016.

Tribal role in Yemen war is under-rated

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YEMEN

Tribes are an important and under-acknowledged element in Yemen’s social, security and political structures. Any agreement to end the civil war needs to take into consideration…

Gulf states’ quarrels may damage Israel in Gaza

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GULF STATES/ISRAEL

Informal ties between Israel and some of the Gulf Arab monarchies in economic, intelligence, and security affairs are growing, encouraged by the prospect of a US-mediated…

Cairo aims for greater regional clout

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EGYPT

The advent of a new US administration has presented Egypt with an opportunity to reaffirm its regional strategic importance, but also created new risks.

New moves could bring an end to Yemen's civil war

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YEMEN

The truce follows unilateral ceasefires by the Huthi side on March 27 and by the Saudi-led coalition on March 30. The transfer of power, along with the sacking of unpopular Deputy…