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Brexit will bring instability to Northern Ireland

Location:

UK/IRELAND

The collapse of Northern Ireland's power-sharing executive on January 16, coupled with the prospect of a policed border after Brexit (for the first time since 2005), removes two…

Montenegro's caretaker government will limp on

Location:

MONTENEGRO

Three former ruling party blocs branded President Milo Djukanovic’s refusal to accept their proposed nominee for prime minister as unconstitutional, leading them to initiate…

Political gridlock will curtail change in Kuwait

Location:

KUWAIT

Regular questioning of cabinet members by opposition MPs has hardened divisions between parliament and the cabinet. The conflictual relationship has stalled important economic…

Nepal’s government will be constrained by infighting

Location:

NEPAL

Although his party contested the November 20 elections as a key component of an alliance headed by then premier Sher Bahadur Deuba’s Nepali Congress, it now holds power as part of…

Turkey's emergency rule will arouse fears of abuse

Location:

TURKEY

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared the SoE following a four-and-half-hour National Security Council meeting on July 20, five days after a failed coup. A countrywide SoE is a…

Kazakh leader builds power while fending off Russia

Location:

KAZAKHSTAN

Tokayev's rebuff to Russian hopes of support on the Ukraine war reflects a commitment to maintaining foreign policy independence while securing his domestic position through…

Belarusian leader seeks Russian help as options narrow

Location:

BELARUS

No documents were signed, but Putin backed a constitutional reform project, affirmed Lukashenka as legitimate president, announced that a reserve Russian police force waiting on…

Montenegro may fail to form a stable government

Location:

MONTENEGRO

PES faces the challenge of forming a stable majority government to end prolonged political instability and restart EU-oriented reforms. Its main rival, long-time former President…

A transitional UK-EU Brexit deal is likely

Location:

EU/UK

The nature of Brexit and its medium-term implications will only become clear as the negotiations surrounding Article 50 and any longer-term trade deal get under way. The nature of…

Fresh Iraqi elections are likely

Location:

IRAQ

Sadr has demonstrated that forming a new government is unlikely to be possible without his tacit approval, and that such approval will not be forthcoming until after the systemic…