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UNCLOS ruling may ease China-South-east Asia tensions

Location:

CHINA/SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A sweeping victory for the Philippines has dismantled any legal basis for expansive Chinese claims across much of the South China Sea.

Ideological divisions will drive jihadist rivalry

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/INT

Ideological divisions between Islamic State group and al-Qaida.

China's appetite for Taiwan war is lower than it seems

Location:

CHINA

It serves Beijing's interests to exaggerate both. China is developing the capability to seize Taiwan by force, but it does not reveal the circumstances under which it would use it.

Philippine police drug raids will alienate senate

Location:

PHILIPPINES

This follows the August 15-18 PNP raids in and around Manila which saw up to 81 people killed who officially were suspected of involvement in illegal drug-related activities but…

Insecurity and response pose risks in El Salvador

Location:

EL SALVADOR

Insecurity poses a challenge for President Nayib Bukele, who has made considerable political capital from a downward trend in violence over his term in office. While the…

Taiwan focus is on defence and third force politics

Location:

TAIWAN

The arms will be taken directly from US stockpiles. China is the central factor in campaigning for Taiwan’s 2024 presidential elections. However, a strong showing by a third-party…

Foreign policy has a major role in Trump's campaigning

Location:

US

As the leading candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, Trump will increasingly shape partisan resistance to President Joe Biden’s foreign policy agenda for 2024.

F-16s will not solve Ukraine's problems immediately

Location:

UKRAINE

Gaining access to US combat aircraft has been a long-standing goal for Kyiv. The decision to move forward with the transfer of the jets is a statement of strengthened US and…

Failure to deliver quickly will undermine the G5 Sahel

Location:

WEST AFRICA

In December, donors also promised some 2.4 billion euros to fund the G5 Sahel's economic 'Priority Investment Programme' (PIP).

France's security policy will focus on symbolism

Location:

FRANCE

France is confronted with a form of international terrorism -- as many recent perpetrators have claimed allegiance to the Islamic State group (ISG) -- but only the November 2015…