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Sudan could become spoiler to South Sudan peace

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SUDAN

Khartoum's interests in South Sudan's peace deal.

Prospects for the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea in 2018-22

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PROSPECTS 2018-22

Prospects for the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea in 2018-22.

Sudan's military will leverage foreign relations

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SUDAN

Though Sudan’s crisis is essentially domestic -- with the military holding on to power after the ouster of former President Omar al-Bashir despite widespread popular calls for…

Norms can undermine Middle East and Africa transitions

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MENA/ AFRICA

Transitions following a peace agreement are typically seen as major opportunities for democratisation and new constitution making, and sometimes for national dialogue…

Ethiopia-Egypt dam disputes may de-escalate

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ETHIOPIA/EGYPT

The nearly completed mega-dam has been a source of immense friction between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan, but recent developments could create space to de-escalate.

Blowback may eventually restrain Gulf interventionism

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GULF STATES

The wealthier Gulf states have become increasingly active in nearby countries over the past decade. They have intervened significantly across the Middle East and Horn of Africa…

Dubai’s African expansion carries major risks

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES/AFRICA

DP World, the leading state-owned port operator and logistics company of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), is aggressively expanding its foothold across Africa. As DP World…

Sudan’s military will remain united despite tensions

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SUDAN

The speech was intended to draw a line under reported differences between Burhan and RSF commander and Sovereign Council Deputy Chairman Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo ‘Himedti’ over calls…

Political uncertainty fans unrest in Sudan’s periphery

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SUDAN

The violence first erupted in July, but flared again in October and November. Moreover, it is by no means an isolated development, but mirrors new episodes of inter-communal…

Abu Dhabi seeks ‘smart power’ in the Horn of Africa

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The move risks further exacerbating poor relations with Somalia. The UAE has a long-term commercial interest in the Somaliland port of Berbera, previously planned to include…