Sudan's military will leverage foreign relations

Significance

Though Sudan’s crisis is essentially domestic -- with the military holding on to power after the ouster of former President Omar al-Bashir despite widespread popular calls for civilian government -- the TMC is actively looking for ways to exploit foreign engagement in the crisis in its favour.

Impacts

• Economic pressures are likely to prompt the TMC to seek further Arab financial assistance.
• Security forces will continue to use repressive measures against protestors.
• Domestic political resistance to the TMC may deepen.