Wednesday, January 6, 2021
Transitions following a peace agreement are typically seen as major opportunities for democratisation and new constitution making, and sometimes for national dialogue, reconciliation, transitional justice and institutional reform. Outcomes, however, are often disappointing.
- The peace agreement and transition framework in South Sudan may face mounting setbacks, bringing its credibility into question.
- Civil society groups will struggle to get their views about transition heard.
- International and local peacebuilding NGOs may suffer more than other organisations from aid cuts.
- The Libya dialogue may aim for a limited outcome that prioritises a short transition to elections rather than a comprehensive transition.
- Calls may grow for a new approach to reach a political settlement in Yemen, given the meagre results of the existing UN mediation approach.