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Erdogan’s ambitions will strain EU ties further

Location:

TURKEY/FRANCE

Rising tensions over the conflict in Libya have produced a severe crisis in French-Turkish ties and threaten to exacerbate strains in Ankara’s relations with the EU. By placing…

Expanded French role in West Africa faces risks

Location:

WEST AFRICA

Though details remain to be decided, a joint declaration made the same day by France and its European, Canadian and African partners has set a June 2022 deadline for devising…

Jihadist expansion into West Africa will take time

Location:

WEST AFRICA

While the overall number of incidents is fewer than a dozen since the rise of the region's jihadist insurgencies in the early 2010s, the trend lends credence to growing warnings…

Macron's Cameroon visit will bolster Biya

Location:

CAMEROON

Macron’s choice of Cameroon marks a shift in his African approach compared to his first term in which he was highly critical of Cameroonian President Paul Biya’s treatment of…

Mali’s UN force is in danger of collapse

Location:

MALI

The UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) is in danger of collapse. Various contributing countries are announcing withdrawals, including Western…

Islamist insurgents target Mali government backers

Location:

MALI

This follows several other smaller-scale incidents against Bamako this year. However, it is the largest terrorist attack ever in the capital city and an alarming escalation for…

Mali peace accord needs further rebel buy-in

Location:

MALI

The clashes come shortly after the government on May 15 signed a new agreement -- the Algiers Accord -- with northern armed groups. The major Tuareg rebel groups allied under the…

Central African Republic peace deal needs executing

Location:

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

The accord, the full contents of which are still not public, differs from previous deals in that it follows the first direct talks between the parties and because the government…

Mali peace is slipping away

Location:

MALI

However, opposition political parties and former rebels, most prominently northern Mali’s main ex-rebel bloc, the Coordination of Movements of Azawad (CMA), refuse to participate…

Ukraine will struggle to re-activate peace process

Location:

UKRAINE

In the last year, President Volodymyr Zelensky’s team has hinted that elections in these areas -- a Russian demand -- might be possible. In the last month, Zelensky has clarified…