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Japan-UK security partnership will deepen

Location:

JAPAN/UK

The former provides a legal framework for UK and Japanese forces to deploy on each other’s territory. The latter pools resources for the joint development of a next-generation…

China's push for restrictions on military AI will fail

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CHINA

This extends its previous efforts to limit autonomous weapons to cover the whole range of AI. The specific role that AI might play in conflict remains speculative, as does the…

US missile 'defence' may prove to be the opposite

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UNITED STATES

US missile defence.

Egypt will use arms deals to boost regional standing

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EGYPT

On March 12, Cairo announced a 2-billion-dollar deal to buy advanced fighter jets from Russia. This comes against the background of new data showing that Egypt has climbed to…

Russia could gain by staying in Open Skies Treaty

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RUSSIA/NATO

Washington announced it was leaving the treaty on May 21, though Secretary of State Mike Pompeo indicated that this might be reviewed if Russia stopped violating the agreement…

Beijing-ASEAN South China Sea tensions will grow

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CHINA/ASEAN

While there is always potential for unplanned escalation, recent incidents in the area are unlikely to change the basic dynamics there: China’s increasing assertion of ‘on-water’…

Russian-US arms treaties erode in new era of mistrust

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RUSSIA/US

The likely end of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty will be an important marker in the decline of international stability and a particular blow to long-held…

Trump US union speech agenda may tempt some Democrats

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UNITED STATES

With split control of Congress and divergent policy priorities in many areas between Democrats and Republicans, only parts of Trump’s suggested agenda stand much chance of…

North Korea may goad South Korea into limited conflict

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NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

Pyongyang claims to have tested a new nuclear-capable underwater drone -- Seoul is sceptical -- and North Korea’s foreign minister has visited Moscow. South Korean President Yoon…

US security review will stress China threat

Location:

UNITED STATES

Despite Russian aggression in Europe, the forthcoming NSS is expected to reinforce the conclusion of the National Defense Strategy, issued in March, and the National Intelligence…