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Water scarcity will boost Turkey-Syria-Iraq tensions

Location:

IRAQ/SYRIA/TURKEY

Large-scale water capture in Turkish dams upstream has caused long-term shortages elsewhere in the Tigris and Euphrates river basin, notably eastern Syria and southern Iraq…

Prospects for Turkey to end-2021

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for Turkey to end-2021.

Turkey will shift focus to Kurdish guerrillas in Iraq

Location:

TURKEY

Since the breakdown of the peace process with the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) in July 2016, Erdogan’s policy of all-out violence has to outward appearances smashed the Kurds’…

Normalising Syrian-Turkish relations faces challenges

Location:

SYRIA/TURKEY

Turkey has dropped its insistence on regime change in Syria as it seeks to defuse a domestic crisis over Syrian refugees and to contain Kurdish aspirations. Normalisation could…

Iraq will negotiate over Kurdish flight ban

Location:

IRAQ

IRAQ: Baghdad will negotiate on a Kurdish flight ban

Syrian Kurds face a possible loss of autonomy

Location:

SYRIA

After the outbreak of civil war in 2011 and the rise of Islamic State (IS), the US-backed SDF managed to establish an autonomous administration in northeast Syria. However, it…

Turkey will not sanction Iraqi Kurdish oil

Location:

IRAQ/TURKEY

IRAQ/TURKEY: Ankara will not sanction Erbil’s oil

Prospects for Turkey to end-2016

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for Turkey to end-2016.

Prospects for Syria in 2018

Location:

PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for Syria in 2018.

Iraqi budget squeeze threatens Kurdish chaos

Location:

IRAQ

Since the KRI lost control of several oil fields following the failed independence referendum on September 25, its already-tight fiscal situation has worsened sharply. Iraq’s…