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East Libya oil exports would carry high political risk

Location:

LIBYA

The 'NOC east' conference aims to discuss "legally signed agreements and contracts". This is the latest attempt by the eastern government to circumvent the Tripoli-based National…

Oil will challenge fragile institutions in Guyana

Location:

GUYANA

Guyana, hitherto a non-oil producing state, will produce growing volumes of crude oil. This will bring a range of consequences, potentially both positive and negative. It will…

Pre-election repression in Equatorial Guinea to rise

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EQUATORIAL GUINEA

Political economy outlook for Equatorial Guinea.

Prospects for Venezuela in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

There will be intense domestic and international pressure to delay National Assembly elections in order to improve conditions for a free and fair vote. A delay would strengthen…

Third COVID wave calls for caution from Erdogan

Location:

TURKEY

Throughout April, new cases have exceeded 40,000 per day. The surge, which followed the easing of containment measures in March, was the third and largest spike in COVID-19 cases…

Bolivia’s ambitious development plans face challenges

Location:

BOLIVIA

The strategy, which has attracted criticism from opponents as being overly statist, is based largely on the policy orientation adopted by the Morales administrations between 2006…

Zimbabwean government will try to entrench its control

Location:

ZIMBABWE

Chamisa’s call comes amid worsening political and economic crises and rising public frustration with President Emmerson Mnangagwa and the ruling ZANU-PF. Meanwhile, Mnangagwa’s…

Congressional support will assist Guatemala’s Arevalo

Location:

GUATEMALA

A Constitutional Court ruling barring members of his Movimiento Semilla (Seed Movement, Semilla) from holding congressional leadership positions will constrain the party’s room…

Guatemala corruption probes may raise investor worry

Location:

GUATEMALA

The impact of corruption probes on investors.

Mozambican debt deal will bring only short-term gains

Location:

MOZAMBIQUE

Mozambique debt restructuring.