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Afghan security is likely to deteriorate in 2017

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Outlook for Afghanistan's security in 2017.

Gulf economies are on a stable track despite risks

Location:

GULF STATES

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2017

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2017.

Russia's Aerospace forces will focus on NATO

Location:

RUSSIA

Russian Aerospace Forces.

Landslide win gives Putin six more years

Location:

RUSSIA

Putin won 87% of the vote on 74% turnout, surpassing the 68% seen in 2018. Communist candidate Nikolai Kharitonov came second with just under 4%. Scattered opposition protests and…

Russia and Turkey will avoid igniting Karabakh war

Location:

CAUCASUS

Implications of a serious bout of fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh.

Russian oil supply cut would hit Central Europe hard

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Flows resumed within days, but the sudden cut-off -- ascribed to overdue transit payments -- highlights Central Europe’s dependence on Russian oil imports and the difficulty of…

Syrian-Lebanese food shortages will drive instability

Location:

SYRIA/LEBANON

While Lebanon is experiencing what the World Bank dubbed “the worst economic crisis in more than a century”, civil war-torn Syria has been hit by one of the most severe droughts…

Prospects for Syria in 2017

Location:

PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for Syria in 2017.

Middle East and North Africa wheat supply challenges

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

The war in Ukraine threatens supply of important commodities to the Middle East and North Africa. The region is highly reliant on Russia and Ukraine for wheat and barley, with…