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Central-Eastern Europe will compete for US favour

Location:

EUROPE/US

Trump’s effect on US-European relations.

Weak policing hampers South Africa’s crime response

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

However, the policing response has been beset by deficiencies of leadership, resources and policies, compounded by structural weaknesses that are the legacy of state capture.

Eastern EU views on migrants will not change soon

Location:

EU-11

A rift has opened between the eleven former communist EU member states (EU-11), and such older members as Germany and Sweden, over attitudes towards immigrants and refugees, who…

Russia will try mostly to widen European divisions

Location:

EU/RUSSIA

Russian attempts to influence European politics and elections.

Costa Rica migration reforms will be limited

Location:

COSTA RICA

It does so in a complicated migratory environment. Migration flows are diversifying and show no sign of abating, anti-migration movements are vocal, press coverage of the issue is…

Middle East socioeconomic trajectories are negative

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Lower global oil prices contributing to new tensions in both oil-producing and oil-importing countries.

Honduran security strategy successes will be limited

Location:

HONDURAS

The measure, announced by President Xiomara Castro in November 2022, partially mirrored controversial security policies implemented in neighbouring El Salvador. While El Salvador…

China's appetite for Taiwan war is lower than it seems

Location:

CHINA

It serves Beijing's interests to exaggerate both. China is developing the capability to seize Taiwan by force, but it does not reveal the circumstances under which it would use it.

Central Mali will face rising intercommunal tensions

Location:

MALI

Ethnic and jihadist violence in central Mali.

Leadership losses will weaken ISG in Iraq, Syria

Location:

SYRIA/IRAQ

The elimination of top- and mid-level cadres in US-led coalition airstrikes comes at a time when the group is also suffering serious battlefield losses. The strikes raise…