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South-South cooperation has a long way to go

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Foreign development assistance from and to countries in the ‘Global South’ aims to disrupt not only the established direction of aid flows from the northern to the southern…

China will dominate in multi-vector Uzbek outreach

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UZBEKISTAN

This is visible now as pledges of better ties with Washington coexist with talk of joining the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) -- yet it is China that is the main source…

Arce is on course for a landslide win in Bolivia

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BOLIVIA

The result reveals the enduring strength of the MAS despite its ouster from office last year and twelve months of vitriolic criticism by the right-wing interim administration that…

Prospects for Argentina to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

The first-quarter fall, following full-year contractions of 2.5% and 2.2% in 2018 and 2019, includes only the first ten days of the COVID-19-related lockdown, which continues. The…

Central America faces major challenges in 2021

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CENTRAL AMERICA

While governments have begun tentative efforts to restart economic activity, the crisis is far from over. It looks sure to shape the main issues of 2021, exacerbating all the…

GDP fall correlates with fewer tourists in EU’s south

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EU

The EU’s deepest recessions in the second quarter of 2020 tended to occur in countries with large tourism sectors

Russian oil supply cut would hit Central Europe hard

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EASTERN EUROPE

Flows resumed within days, but the sudden cut-off -- ascribed to overdue transit payments -- highlights Central Europe’s dependence on Russian oil imports and the difficulty of…

Russian gas cut would hurt EU’s eastern members most

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EASTERN EUROPE

Energy exports have been Russia’s potent weapon against Europe since the Ukraine war began. When NS1 closed for maintenance in July, fears mounted that flows would not resume…

Brunei will step up efforts to diversify economy

Location:

BRUNEI

The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

Prospects for Turkey in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Fiscal and monetary stimuli and a policy-induced credit boom have combined with the broad normalisation of social life to contain COVID-19's impact on economic output. However…