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Myanmar civil service reform risks a two-tiered system

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MYANMAR

Outlook for civil service reform in Myanmar.

Italy’s budget for next year reflects fiscal caution

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ITALY

The government proposes a moderate increase in spending, largely funded by better-than-expected GDP growth. Rome has committed to the previous government's fiscal consolidation…

Prospects for Venezuela to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Venezuela to end-2019.

Ivory Coast’s Gon Coulibaly likely to triumph in polls

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IVORY COAST

Profile of Prime Minister Amadou Gon Coulibaly.

Cost-of-living crisis will not hurt Hungary’s rulers

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HUNGARY

The largest annual rise was for food, by 30.9% (3.3% month-on-month). Many Hungarians are expecting their living standards to decline, with costs rising also for some public…

Canada’s provincial politics will likely go rightwards

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CANADA

Facing challenges from resurgent conservative parties and widespread unpopularity brought on by economic circumstances and voter apathy, the centre-left governments in both…

Namibia's SWAPO faces further damaging poll losses

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NAMIBIA

SWAPO lost its two-thirds majority in the main house of parliament last year and could also see its dominance in the second parliamentary chamber diminished. SWAPO's decline in…

Malaysia-Vietnam TPP deal is likely by year-end

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MALAYSIA/VIETNAM

Outlook for the Trans-Pacific Partnership in South-east Asia.

South African lockdown easing should reduce hardship

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SOUTH AFRICA

The re-opening comes despite an infection rate that is expected to peak only later this year.

New Gambian president will re-engage the West

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GAMBIA

If Barrow is inaugurated, it will mark the first peaceful transfer of power since the country gained independence. Incumbent Yahya Jammeh, who seized power in a 1994 military…