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Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

Location:

MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

Sudan’s junta may exploit centre-periphery tensions

Location:

SUDAN

Nevertheless, Sudan’s military has been able to retain some partnerships, notably with groups representing constituencies from the periphery, which offer it a potentially crucial…

Afghan talks start despite multiple unresolved issues

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

The Taliban agreed to talk to Kabul's delegation only reluctantly, under US pressure. The Kabul authorities were scarcely any keener. The insurgents' negotiating strategy appears…

China-US trade talks will likely see minimal changes

Location:

CHINA/US

Washington suspects Meng of connection with efforts to violate US sanctions on Iran, something her side denies. Despite the long lead-time (with an August 22 warrant issued) and…

New deadline dilemma looms in South Sudan

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

Little progress has been made since then, including on critical security arrangements, and the parties have given little indication of willingness or capacity to end the deadlock.

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

Location:

GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Poor Nigerian state finances portend political clashes

Location:

NIGERIA

Nigerian state finances.

Southern Yemen deal will require added Saudi pressure

Location:

YEMEN

The government was ejected from the city in clashes with the separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC) in August. Earlier this month, the sides signed a Saudi-brokered peace…

US-Middle East alignment unlikely

Location:

UNITED STATES/MIDDLE EAST

He will meet Israeli and Palestinian leaders and top officials from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates…

Tigray-Amhara claims may delay Ethiopia peace process

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Territorial disputes between Amhara and Tigray require delicate negotiations. This will likely delay, and could even derail, the peace process.