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Common interests will preserve French-German unity

Location:

FRANCE/GERMANY

French-German relations.

Iran may prioritise cyber espionage, not attack

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IRAN

Before the US withdrawal from the Iran nuclear agreement, many observers expected Tehran to increase its use of asymmetric capabilities, especially cyber tools, in retaliation…

Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

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MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

Saudi Arabian funding will change the business of golf

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SAUDI ARABIA

LIV Golf is Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund’s expansion into the world of men’s professional golf, launched in 2022. The US PGA Tour and the European Tour have dominated…

Castro reforms set to slow in Cuba

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CUBA

Rapprochement and reform efforts.

US shutdown effects will deepen

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UNITED STATES

For Trump, building “the wall” is an election pledge, but Democrats say it would be an “immorality” and ineffective. This disagreement triggered a partial government shutdown of…

European defence spending may increase modestly

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EUROPE

Along with previous remarks about NATO’s obsolescence, this has put a sharp focus on the disparities in both spending and military capabilities between the United States and…

Afghan talks start despite multiple unresolved issues

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AFGHANISTAN

The Taliban agreed to talk to Kabul's delegation only reluctantly, under US pressure. The Kabul authorities were scarcely any keener. The insurgents' negotiating strategy appears…

China-US trade talks will likely see minimal changes

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CHINA/US

Washington suspects Meng of connection with efforts to violate US sanctions on Iran, something her side denies. Despite the long lead-time (with an August 22 warrant issued) and…

The White House needs the Pentagon on board on Taiwan

Location:

UNITED STATES

Burns stressed his belief that Xi may be dissuaded from meeting that deadline by Moscow’s military experience in Ukraine, adding to administration comments that an invasion of…