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Beijing-ASEAN South China Sea tensions will grow

Location:

CHINA/ASEAN

While there is always potential for unplanned escalation, recent incidents in the area are unlikely to change the basic dynamics there: China’s increasing assertion of ‘on-water’…

US arms and nuclear pressure may force Iran reaction

Location:

IRAN

The ban expires on October 18, under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the 2015 nuclear deal, from which Washington withdrew in 2018. If its extension efforts fail…

Mass South-east Asian shift towards China is unlikely

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

Chinese officials later clarified that no formal agreement had been reached, while both countries still claim the shoal. Nonetheless, the visit, in which Duterte repeated his…

Inter-religious tensions compound Ethiopia’s fragility

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The attack triggered Muslim protests in various parts of the country and revenge attacks against Orthodox Christians in the Muslim-dominated Worabe city, in southern Ethiopia.

Russia will expand Middle East security and trade role

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The previous day, the Pentagon said that Moscow was trying to influence events in Libya. Since intervening in Syria in September 2015, President Vladimir Putin has established…

Japan-UK economic and security cooperation will grow

Location:

JAPAN/UK

Trade is only part of a complex set of bilateral links that have developed over the last five years. The United Kingdom aspires to a global role closer to Asia and the Pacific, in…

US budget poised to end with continuing resolutions

Location:

UNITED STATES

The budgeting process is where the government determines its fiscal priorities for the following year. However, gridlock in Congress and the deep divisions between the parties has…

Armed opposition disputes threaten Ethiopian stability

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The development was met with silence from the OLF leadership and little fanfare from the government, even though the two sides had been involved in rising conflict over recent…

Singapore will keep up pressure on Moscow

Location:

SINGAPORE

Other South-east Asian countries also backed the resolution and have, like Singapore, criticised the war. However, the city-state is the only regional player to impose financial…

Russia reviews Karabakh priorities to remain relevant

Location:

RUSSIA/CAUCASUS

Russia previously focused on maintaining the status quo in the Armenian-Azerbaijani stand-off for want of better options, but changes in military control on the ground and…