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No backstop or no deal is Ireland’s Brexit dilemma

Location:

UK/IRELAND/EU

Despite the increasing risk and the implications of a no-deal Brexit, Ireland and the EU remain united in support of the main issue preventing a Brexit deal, the backstop.

Prospects for the United Kingdom to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

UK outlook for end-2019.

Arms issue could quash Palestinian reconciliation

Location:

PALESTINIANS

This came after US Special Envoy Jason Greenblatt set conditions for the engagement of a future Palestinian unity government in peace negotiations that closely echoed Israeli…

Prospects for the Middle East in the second quarter

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PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for the Middle East in the second quarter.

South African government faces public-sector showdown

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The negotiations follow the government’s refusal last year to pay the final annual tranche of a previous three-year deal. Containing the public-sector wage bill is seen as key for…

Uruguay trade deals will be key to boost recovery

Location:

URUGUAY

The move is part of a trade offensive by President Luis Lacalle Pou, who has instructed the foreign ministry to explore possible FTAs with other countries as well. In a region…

South Africa's SAA points to wider reform headaches

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SOUTH AFRICA

Uncertainty persists over SAA’s turnaround strategy, as well as that for other ailing SOEs including arms manufacturer Denel and the Land Bank. Operational problems at troubled…

Iran will see policy stability, whoever wins the poll

Location:

IRAN

A second round of the presidential polls will be held on May 26 if no candidate achieves 50% of the vote. The main issue at stake is which of two major political currents -…

Virus storm will erode Hungarian government’s position

Location:

HUNGARY

Fidesz faces an election in spring 2022. The spectre of a weaker position in the EU and increased EU scrutiny on Hungary’s rule of law record could deal the party further blows…

Brazil post-impeachment prospects would remain muted

Location:

BRAZIL

The outlook for the business climate.