Iran will see policy stability, whoever wins the poll
Wednesday, May 17, 2017
A second round of the presidential polls will be held on May 26 if no candidate achieves 50% of the vote. The main issue at stake is which of two major political currents -- conservative/principalist or moderate/reformist -- will control state resources and patronage.
- The election outcome will not affect Iran’s commitment to the 2015 nuclear agreement.
- A good reformist showing in Tehran local polls could force out the conservative mayor, Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf.
- US policy towards Iran is likely to remain ambivalent, whether the president is moderate or conservative.
Stay up to date
Sign up to the Expert Daily Briefings email alert and receive up-to-the-minute analysis of global events as they happen.
*If your university does not have access to Expert Briefings, visit our information page to find out more.