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Canberra rejects conditions for 'resetting' China ties

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AUSTRALIA

China has issued what it describes as ‘guidelines’ for improving bilateral relations but the new Labor government is maintaining a hard line, at least in public. However, there…

India and China will avoid war but grow further apart

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INDIA/CHINA

The violence broke out despite ongoing bilateral talks to resolve a border stand-off. Delhi and Beijing are blaming each other for the crisis but also affirming their commitment…

US intercession may help Russia-Ukraine de-escalation

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RUSSIA/UKRAINE

An emergency NATO-Ukraine meeting the same day condemned Moscow's activities in terms similar to earlier robust statements from NATO members. The Russian military build-up…

India’s role in regional maritime security will grow

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INDIA

Separately, the IN’s presence in the Arabian Sea has increased markedly since December, in response to threats associated with the fallout from the Israel-Gaza war. Defence…

Ukraine crisis will bring heavy costs for Europe

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EU

The sanctions amount to a middle-of-the-road approach: leaders agreed to keep Russia in the SWIFT payment system and avoid targeting Russian energy exports. They will not cause…

Russian presence will constrain Israel in Syria

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ISRAEL

Putin's comments follow Russia's sudden military build-up in north-west Syria in early September, and an Israeli artillery attack on the Syrian army in the Golan Heights on…

Iran-Azerbaijan relations will improve

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IRAN/AZERBAIJAN

Relations between Azerbaijan and Iran have tended to oscillate between distrust and outright animosity. However, recent events and official statements signal that the two sides…

Yemen's Huthis will signal resilience

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YEMEN

This appears to be the first Huthi response to the January 12 US and UK strikes on northern Yemen. On January 13, US President Joe Biden said Washington had delivered a message…

Saudi Arabia's foreign policy will avoid controversy

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SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi Arabia will use the summit to underline its regional leadership, with a foreign policy posture that has been increasingly less confrontational since 2020. This reflects the…

Violence may weaken FARC's position in Colombia talks

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COLOMBIA

Colombia confidence measures