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South Africa polls will fuel coalition questions

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SOUTH AFRICA

However, its leading competitors, the Democratic Alliance (DA) and radical populist Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), have not clearly benefitted from its decline. Moreover, the…

New dynamics add to South Africa election uncertainty

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SOUTH AFRICA

However, readings of potential support for the main opposition Democratic Alliance (DA) and Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) differ. A plethora of small parties and independent…

Voter data presages key battles in South Africa poll

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SOUTH AFRICA

Consequently, voter registration is anticipated to close on February 23, when the election date is expected to be formally proclaimed. Already, registration data suggests several…

South Africa’s demographic shifts will alter politics

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SOUTH AFRICA

The results show a growing population, and significant demographic shifts within provinces, most notably in the economic powerhouses of Gauteng and Western Cape. However, the…

Business may struggle to ease South Africa’s crises

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SOUTH AFRICA

However, sceptics still doubt whether essentially political problems can be adequately addressed by technocratic inputs alone, without broader reforms to the ANC, the government…

South Africa mining slump hurts ANC election campaign

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SOUTH AFRICA

The timing is disastrous for the ruling ANC party, which faces elections in May with its support already crumbling, in part due to its poor performance on economic issues. Major…

Crime will aggravate South Africa’s growth crisis

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SOUTH AFRICA

South Africa’s crime rates have long been among the world’s highest. Much of this constitutes interpersonal violence, where the victim and perpetrator know each other. However…

Prospects for South Africa in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Macroeconomic prospects depend on whether Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana’s Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) achieves traction with potentially hostile audiences…

Prospects for South Africa to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

The adverse conditions that drove the rand to record lows in the second quarter of 2023 will likely persist through the remainder of the year, despite 0.4% growth in the first…