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Political reform in Bahrain will be limited

Location:

BAHRAIN

The deal enhances US security cooperation with Manama. However, Bahraini civil society advocates are concerned that the defence agreement has put building Gulf security ahead of…

West African regional bloc risks losing crucial clout

Location:

WEST AFRICA

The coup leaders are adamant that they should be allowed to lead the transition, while ECOWAS insists that they should hand over to an interim civilian government.

South Sudan peace talks may fail to bridge reality gap

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SOUTH SUDAN

A ‘framework agreement’ reached between President Salva Kiir and opposition leader Riek Machar in Khartoum on June 27 had been billed as a breakthrough in efforts to end South…

Rajoy will likely fail to win Catalonia challenge

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SPAIN

Following a judicial setback to Madrid’s efforts to have former Catalan leader Carles Puigdemont extradited from Germany to Spain, pro-independence parties are seeking to exploit…

Thai search for investors in land bridge will be tough

Location:

THAILAND

The road-and-rail project, which could end up costing around USD30bn, would link deep-water ports on either side of the Kra Isthmus, in effect connecting the Andaman Sea and the…

Ivanovic killing may slow EU path of Kosovo and Serbia

Location:

KOSOVO/SERBIA

The prominent ethnic Serb politician’s assassination has shaken Kosovo. It is unclear which of Ivanovic’s many enemies ordered the killing. His death complicates Kosovo’s…

Yemen’s war will restart if UN talks fail

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YEMEN

Both sides -- the internationally recognised Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) and the Huthi -- appear ready to give Grundberg a little more time to secure a new agreement…

Elite deals prop up Kenya’s weak political stability

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KENYA

Among other things, the three leaders discussed Odinga’s ambitions to become chairman of the African Union (AU) Commission. Alongside reform proposals made by a National Dialogue…

Dino could be key to centre-left alliance in Brazil

Location:

BRAZIL

At the same time, Dino is seen as a politician with the ability to build bridges both to other forces in the country’s fractured centre-left and to parties beyond it.

Middle East Kurds may become more risk-averse

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Prospects for Kurdish nationalism.