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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 November 2016

The October 2 first round, which included votes for city councilors, had already underscored an anti-Workers' Party (PT) trend that favoured centre-right and socially conservative…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB214656

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 November 2022

The narrow margin -- the thinnest ever in a Brazilian presidential election -- reflects society’s profound divisions as well as the strength of 'Bolsonarismo' despite the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB273763

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2022

Lula and President Jair Bolsonaro continue to lead polls ahead of the October general elections. Lula has been leading for months but his advantage over Bolsonaro is narrowing…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB270087

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 November 2021
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Brazil in 2022

Former centre-left President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva starts the race as the favourite, while a crowded centre-right field will spend months trying, and likely failing, to unify…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB265477

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 March 2021

This paves the way for the 75-year-old centre-left leader to run against his nemesis, far-right President Jair Bolsonaro, who will seek a second term.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB260143

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 December 2021

In recent weeks, former Justice Minister Sergio Moro has joined a centre-right party, Sao Paulo Governor Joao Doria has won his party’s presidential primaries and former President…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB265988

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 January 2023

The inauguration, attended by an estimated 300,000 people, took place under strict security measures after the police uncovered on December 24 a plan by supporters of outgoing…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275016

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 February 2021

The far-right president interfered directly in the process, approving spending measures and offering government jobs in exchange for parliamentarians’ support for his candidates…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB259350

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 July 2021

This would require rebuilding bridges with some moderate figures, in order to gain support among the 57 million voters who rejected his party in 2018. However, it also requires a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB262518

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 August 2019

Universal basic income in Europe.

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