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Governance will prove a challenge for Lula in Brazil

Wednesday, January 4, 2023

Significance

The inauguration, attended by an estimated 300,000 people, took place under strict security measures after the police uncovered on December 24 a plan by supporters of outgoing far-right President Jair Bolsonaro -- narrowly defeated in last year’s run-off -- to blow up a tanker truck on an access route to the capital’s airport.

Impacts

  • Bolsonaro’s self-imposed isolation since losing the elections will undermine his position as potential opposition leader.
  • If Bolsonaro decides against seeking to regain the presidency in 2026, one of his three politician sons could decide to run.
  • While less radical, Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema and his Sao Paulo peer Tarcisio de Freitas may seek to inherit the far-right vote.

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