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Pakistani groups may be eclipsed in Kashmir militancy

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PAKISTAN

Indian security personnel have in recent months stepped up anti-militancy operations in the area amid an uptick in attacks. Pakistani jihadist groups active in Kashmir have sent…

The Palestinian Authority faces existential threats

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PALESTINIANS

This followed the deaths of three Palestinians in an Israeli army incursion there on August 6, emphasising that the major two-day military assault on Jenin in early July failed to…

South Sudan peace deal faces legitimacy gap

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SOUTH SUDAN

Although the ‘transition’ foreseen under that agreement was intended to end with national elections in 2022, the signatories recently agreed to extend the transition by two years…

Prospects for Pakistan in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Separately, the recent Taliban takeover of Afghanistan was a strategic win, given the military-security establishment’s long-standing support for the group. The Taliban’s 'Haqqani…

South Sudan opposition threat may ring hollow

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SOUTH SUDAN

The deadline to form a new government has already been extended once. Another delay now looks like the best-case scenario.

Croat war criminal’s death will shake Balkans

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BALKANS

ICTY’s final verdict on six Bosnian Croat war criminals was a major blow to Zagreb, as it confirmed the Croatian wartime leadership’s responsibility for atrocities in…

Prospects for India in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for India in 2019.

UN mission faces uncertain future in Congo

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CONGO-KINSHASA

This followed recurrent demonstrations against the UN peacekeeping mission (MONUSCO) since July 26, which turned violent and left some 36 people dead.

Ethiopia’s Amhara-Tigray tensions risk new flashpoints

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ETHIOPIA

Amhara forces were central to the federal offensive into Tigray, but their support was in part motivated by a desire to assert claims over strategic areas they say were unfairly…

UAE drawdown will change the dynamic of Yemen’s war

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UAE/YEMEN

The separatists appear to have captured most of Aden. UAE officials say they will still provide assistance to their local partners, after the early July announcement that the UAE…