Pakistani groups may be eclipsed in Kashmir militancy

Significance

Indian security personnel have in recent months stepped up anti-militancy operations in the area amid an uptick in attacks. Pakistani jihadist groups active in Kashmir have sent more fighters to the region from Afghanistan, where they also have a presence.

Impacts

• Pakistan’s military may increasingly struggle to exert full control over the anti-India jihadist groups that it has long backed.
• India will try harder to convince security partners, who may be doubtful, that The Resistance Front is an affiliate of Lashkar-e-Taiba.
• Tensions between India and Pakistan will simmer, although the ceasefire at the de facto border in Kashmir should stop them boiling over.