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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 April 2024
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The military government has in recent months lost considerable territory to its battlefield opponents, including ethnic armed organisations (EAOs) that have long fought the…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 3 April 2024
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CYPRUS/LEBANON: Refugee influx will overwhelm Nicosia
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 February 2024
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Myanmar’s junta for the first time accepted the invitation to have a ‘non-political’ representative at high-level ASEAN meetings, standing since its exclusion from such events…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 November 2023
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On October 3, Pakistan's caretaker government announced November 1 as the deadline for all “illegal” immigrants to leave the country. It has been clear from the outset that the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 June 2023
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ATMIS is to leave Somalia by end-2024, with the first 2,000 troops set to withdraw this month. However, this plan has already been beset by delays, and there are serious questions…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 November 2022
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Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2023.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 October 2022
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The move undermines the international consensus that the Taliban government should not receive direct aid until it addresses issues such as more inclusive government and the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 December 2022
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After a series of conciliatory moves, the Biden administration is trying to persuade the Taliban to make concessions in return for financial assistance. Taliban leaders are…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 February 2019
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The accord, the full contents of which are still not public, differs from previous deals in that it follows the first direct talks between the parties and because the government…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 June 2022
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Despite a recent spike in insurgent attacks, the authorities remain optimistic that military interventions by Rwanda and the Southern African Development Community (SADC) are…

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