Politics will cloud Mozambique’s reconstruction plans

Significance

Despite a recent spike in insurgent attacks, the authorities remain optimistic that military interventions by Rwanda and the Southern African Development Community (SADC) are bringing the conflict to a close. With gas majors demanding real peace before they restart work, this is of critical importance to the government.

Impacts

• Recent attacks in previously unaffected areas will reinforce fears the insurgency has become more dispersed.
• The resumption of IMF budget support signals a normalisation in Western institutions’ relations with the government.
• Nyusi is reaching out internationally to new countries to broaden and reorganise his regional and international alliances.