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Executive summary
Publication date: 30 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

EASTERN EUROPE/US: Air forces upgrade
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Eastern EU to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Governments will rely on EU funding to re-energise their countries' economies, compensating for slowing external demand and depressed consumption. The war in Ukraine will…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 23 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

EASTERN EUROPE: United States will back NATO members

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Economic hardship may be increasing support for populism and far-right politics, especially in the more vulnerable Slovakia and Hungary. Proximity to the war, including spending…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Poland may have resolved its rule-of-law dispute with the EU, whereas part of Hungary’s ‘cohesion’ funds are frozen. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has driven a wedge between Poland…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Visegrad Four (V4) -- Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia -- have been widely regarded as an economic success in post-transition European integration, global value-chain…

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"United 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