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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Denkov administration that took office in June has set adopting the euro as a top priority, and blames the previous interim government for Bulgaria’s unpreparedness to join…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 July 2023
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A move away from the US dollar is gaining momentum, driven by the West’s use of economic sanctions, high levels of sovereign debt and a desire to de-link monetary policy from the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Economic hardship may be increasing support for populism and far-right politics, especially in the more vulnerable Slovakia and Hungary. Proximity to the war, including spending…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for the eastern EU in 2023.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s war in neighbouring Ukraine has prompted EU member-states, and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) in particular, to rethink their own…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 December 2016
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Markets have taken badly the Fed's more hawkish policy guidance for 2017, not expecting such a shift in monetary policy so soon. The shift in US monetary policy comes just as the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 January 2017
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The lira’s collapse is fuelling outflows from Turkey’s local currency government debt market, as foreign investors reduce their purchases of emerging market (EM) domestic debt…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 July 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Although the MNB has struck a more hawkish tone and has raised rates more sharply than expected -- the latest increase is the largest since 2008 -- it has a track record of…

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