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Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

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ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Ethiopian conflict may intensify rather than ease

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ETHIOPIA

Although Demeke also referenced the possibility of resolving Ethiopia’s conflicts through a national dialogue, the government’s wider rhetoric and military build-up instead signal…

Ethiopia’s momentum towards peace remains fragile

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ETHIOPIA

These included high-profile opposition leaders Jawar Mohammed and Bekele Gerba of the Oromo Federalist Congress and Eskinder Nega from Balderas for True Democracy, alongside…

Myanmar conflict will be protracted

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MYANMAR

Attacks by anti-junta People's Defence Forces (PDFs), which operate largely autonomously from each other, are taking an increasing toll on the army. Western powers are ramping up…

Unclear strategy may upend Ivorian opposition chances

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IVORY COAST

It remains unclear whether the main opposition candidate, former President Henri Konan Bedie (1993-99), will propose a boycott of the October 31 polls. Meanwhile, the state…

New fighting impacts South Sudan peace on two levels

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SOUTH SUDAN

NAS alleges that the government’s South Sudan People’s Defence Forces (SSPDF) and the peace deal’s other main signatory, Riek Machar’s Sudan People’s Liberation Army-in Opposition…

South Sudan faces a rocky road to first elections

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SOUTH SUDAN

The current government’s mandate was meant to end this year. Instead, elections prescribed for 2021 have been delayed to 2023, ostensibly to allow more time to implement the 2018…

Ethiopia’s widening conflict will extend uncertainty

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ETHIOPIA

In response, federal-aligned authorities have started mobilising regional militias and even armed civilians to bolster their regular forces. Both have raised fears of an…

Amhara-Oromo tensions threaten Ethiopia peace hopes

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ETHIOPIA

The incident has triggered mutual recriminations between the Amhara and Oromo wings of the ruling Prosperity Party, as well as among respective ethnic-based opposition groups.

Ethiopia’s renewed conflict exposes wider fragilities

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ETHIOPIA

As renewed fighting in Tigray shatters hopes for a new peace process, the resurgence of other conflicts is also a risk