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Afghanistan’s economic outlook is bleak

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.

Brunei will step up efforts to diversify economy

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BRUNEI

The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

Location:

RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

Russia's economic decline will continue this year

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RUSSIA

The recession was far shallower than expected; early forecasts had predicted a contraction of up to 10%. However, economic decline will continue into 2023. Unprecedented sanctions…

Prospects for the Russian economy in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the Russian economy in 2023.

Ukraine war will erode its Visegrad neighbours’ unity

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EASTERN EUROPE

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

2023 will test East European V4 economies’ resilience

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EASTERN EUROPE

Economic hardship may be increasing support for populism and far-right politics, especially in the more vulnerable Slovakia and Hungary. Proximity to the war, including spending…

Trump worries will weigh on Canada's economic agenda

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CANADA

Trump’s victory in the US presidential election has created worries in Ottawa that a more protectionist line from Washington could further dampen weak Canadian business investment…

Russian economic strategy will mix diverse approaches

Location:

RUSSIA

The Kremlin is open to a range of viewpoints, and various plans are being drafted to avoid stagnation and reignite the growth rates of the 2000s.