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Mali's opposition will struggle to challenge the junta

Location:

MALI

Presidential elections were indefinitely postponed in September 2023. Prime Minister Choguel Maiga has stated that persistent insecurity means that elections are unrealistic…

Russia will struggle to expand West Africa gold mining

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WEST AFRICA

More recently, this has involved widely publicised claims that Russia is skirting international sanctions by using African gold from mines seized by proxy forces to help finance…

Jihadist growth may accelerate in the Sahel

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SAHEL

Violence also appears to be escalating in Niger since the July 2023 coup there. The ruling military juntas in all three countries have followed the same basic strategy of…

Pullout from West Africa's ECOWAS bloc may prove messy

Location:

WEST AFRICA

The move builds on a long period of tension between the juntas and ECOWAS over planned political transitions to civilian constitutional rule and intensifying rejection by the…

Mali's northern goals may hurt relations with Algeria

Location:

MALI

Dicko met with Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune. Algiers claimed the meetings with northern armed groups were part of a mediation effort regarding which Malian authorities…

Mali's junta will seek to increase revenue from mining

Location:

MALI

The code allows the state to take up to a 30% stake in new projects, a substantial increase over the 20% stake allowed under the previous (2019) code. The revised legislation aims…

Mali's northern war may become protracted

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MALI

Kidal has served as the political capital of various northern armed groups since 2012. Its capture follows the August outbreak of hostilities between the ruling junta and the…

Military interventions face limits in the Sahel

Location:

WEST AFRICA

Both are in the process of finalising their departures, amid deteriorating relations with the Nigerien and Malian juntas respectively, and growing popular rejection of the…

Mali's junta faces obstacles to north-south war

Location:

MALI

This followed the withdrawal of the UN’s MINUSMA peacekeeping contingent from the town. The fighting was followed later in the month by government airstrikes in the northern Kidal…

Wagner's influence in Africa may prove exaggerated

Location:

AFRICA

Notably, US intelligence accuses Wagner of efforts to destabilise Chad’s junta as well as broader regional ambitions of creating a “unified ‘confederation’ of African states”…