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Prospects for the US economy to end-2020

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2020

Prospects for the US economy to end-2020.

Labour reform will not reduce unemployment in Brazil

Location:

BRAZIL

Deteriorating labour market conditions are having negative economic and social effects. The unemployment rate reached 13.6% in the three months ending in April, with 14 million…

Prospects for the global economy in H2 2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Labour and housing markets are slowing very gradually, but the strength of services is preventing a faster fall in headline inflation. The pass-through effects of interest-rate…

UK prices will outpace unemployment in coming months

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

UNITED KINGDOM: Price rises will outpace unemployment

US GDP is set for a rapid consumption-led rebound

Location:

UNITED STATES

Economic activity is likely to heat up rapidly as people spend some of the savings accumulated in 2020 and direct payments given to them by the federal government.

Prospects for the US economy to end-2018

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for the US economy to end-2018.

Protracted recession now appears likely in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

In April the Monthly Estimate of Economic Activity declined by 1.7% year-on-year, accumulating a 4.2% contraction in January-April. President Javier Milei expected the economy to…

Prospects for the US economy to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Since labour market tightness is now the key source of inflationary pressures, slower economic activity will increase unemployment. Research by Ben Bernanke and Olivier Blanchard…

Political uncertainty clouds US economic soft landing

Location:

UNITED STATES

Both Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump are increasingly vague about economic policy, meaning that the election is being driven by personalities rather than policies.

US consumption may disappoint in the first quarter

Location:

UNITED STATES

UNITED STATES: Private consumption may fail to pick up