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China's role as trading hub for Russia will grow

Location:

CHINA/RUSSIA

China has become an economic bridge, reselling Russian resources to the West and Western manufactured goods to Russia. This is primarily economic opportunism rather than…

Washington's China policy will become more targeted

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Biden White House sees China as its central challenge in foreign affairs but Blinken has sketched its policy framework with a board brush, attempting to leave some room for…

Trade disputes complicate integration in East Africa

Location:

EAST AFRICA

However, in July, tensions resurfaced after Kenya increased fees on Ugandan fuel imports through Mombasa port, reigniting one of the core points of disagreement. Since 2023, there…

Iraqi efforts to curb Iran energy dependence will fail

Location:

IRAQ/IRAN

Failures of Iranian gas and electricity supplies have combined with attacks on pylons and a heatwave to cause severe power cuts in Iraq this summer. In the longer term, Tehran’s…

US-Russian arms competition will focus on India

Location:

US/RUSSIA

India is the world's largest arms importer and its primary suppliers are Russia and the United States. Although the two suppliers largely sell their weapons to different customers…

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

Location:

RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

Humanitarian and social pressures will rise in Iran

Location:

IRAN

US sanctions are nevertheless causing major difficulties for importers. Even for trade that is technically exempt from sanctions, notably food and medicines, a lack of financial…

Sanctions on Seoul confirm foreign fears of China

Location:

CHINA

CHINA: Sanctions on Seoul confirm foreign fears

China will retain its dominance in rare earths

Location:

CHINA

As tensions build between Beijing and Western governments, Beijing may increasingly be tempted to weaponise its dominance. It could limit supplies in response to sanctions and…

Frictions with Moscow underline Belarusian dependence

Location:

BELARUS

Disputes about fuel prices, as well as Belarusian concerns about Moscow's treatment of Ukraine, have marred the long-term Belarusian-Russian alignment. As head of the weaker…