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Cuba faces tough choices despite new constitution

Location:

CUBA

A 21-hour time lag between the closing of polling stations and the publication of the results gave rise to suspicions of fraud but vote count reports from independent observers…

Cambodia’s Hun Sen faces resistance to succession plan

Location:

CAMBODIA

He said Hun Manet would have to be elected to the post. The next general election is due in 2023. Hun Manet is currently deputy commander-in-chief of the armed forces and part of…

Germany’s long-term nuclear position is uncertain

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GERMANY

The closure of the plants, which accounted for around 5% of Germany’s electricity output, comes at a time when investment in nuclear energy is growing in Europe in order to meet…

Iraqi Kurdish poll results will confirm the status quo

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IRAQ

The poll, due last year, was delayed because of the fight against Islamic State and the fallout from the disastrous September 2017 independence referendum. The vote came shortly…

China port plan will strain US-Cambodia ties

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US/CAMBODIA

Update on US-Cambodia ties, including China.

Renewed war with PKK may risk Turkey's energy security

Location:

TURKEY

The Justice and Development Party (AKP) has abandoned its long-stalled 'peace process' with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). In response, the PKK has ended its ceasefire…

Bolivian elections will not bring rapid new government

Location:

BOLIVIA

The interim administration of Jeanine Anez is doing all in its power to reverse policies pursued by former President Evo Morales’s government. It has cut links with previous…

Brexit will bring instability to Northern Ireland

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UK/IRELAND

The collapse of Northern Ireland's power-sharing executive on January 16, coupled with the prospect of a policed border after Brexit (for the first time since 2005), removes two…

Prospects for US politics in 2016

Location:

PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for US politics in 2016

China’s defence spending will remain stable

Location:

CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…