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Afghan opposition will struggle to remain relevant

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AFGHANISTAN

Meanwhile, long-standing opposition groups such as the National Resistance Front (NRF) and Afghanistan Freedom Front (AFF) have re-launched armed campaigns within Afghanistan.

Engaging with Afghanistan will get harder for West

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AFGHANISTAN

This was a reference to criticism of Taliban rule by certain international players. While engagement between the emirate and the West remains limited, the Taliban are drawing…

Iran’s opposition will struggle to gain global support

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IRAN

Pahlavi, the son of the deposed Shah of Iran, is taking advantage of the increasing isolation of Iran from Western governments. However, a coherent opposition grouping that has…

Ethiopia may fail to deliver on transitional justice

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ETHIOPIA

The policy includes some changes from the justice ministry’s initial draft, most significantly the removal of a proposal for a special court to prosecute the most serious crimes…

Prospects for the Middle East in the third quarter

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PROSPECTS 2015 Q3

Prospects for the Middle East in the third quarter.

Cambodia opposition protests face tough response

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CAMBODIA

Prime Minister Hun Sen says he is prepared to talk to the opposition, but that this must be in the National Assembly.

New Myanmar government to seek new military hardware

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MYANMAR

This follows Myanmar's National League for Democracy (NLD)-dominated legislature endorsing a new defence cooperation agreement with Russia on May 10.

Ethiopia’s commitment to transitional justice may fade

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ETHIOPIA

Ethiopia has campaigned for an end to the ICHREE’s mandate by touting a draft transitional justice policy as an alternative to international oversight.

New Cyprus president will pursue pro-Western policy

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CYPRUS

Christodoulides is taking charge at a time of high political volatility. Though he is from the ruling Democratic Rally (DISY), he was not DISY's candidate, won with the support of…

Russia will cooperate more with Afghan Taliban

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AFGHANISTAN

Such a move could pave the way for Russia to recognise the emirate formally. No player currently does so, but a handful of countries including Russia are engaging substantially…