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New Myanmar government to seek new military hardware

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Significance

This follows Myanmar's National League for Democracy (NLD)-dominated legislature endorsing a new defence cooperation agreement with Russia on May 10.

Impacts

  • Tatmadaw modernisation activity is not evidence of preparation to leave politics.
  • Deeper Russian defence ties with Myanmar will support Moscow's policy reorientation in South-east Asia.
  • Myanmar and Russia are currently unlikely to agree a nuclear power deal.
  • In the short term, substantive Myanmar-Russia counterterrorism cooperation is unlikely.
  • Myanmar's domestic defence industry is likely to grow.
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