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Russia and also Europe to suffer from EU sanctions

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

EU leaders accept that the measures will undercut EU growth and increase the risks of recession. They have less appetite than Washington for further sanctions, reflecting their…

Washington has limited options for Ukraine

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UNITED STATES

Washington continues to warn that a Russian attack on Ukraine is imminent while arguing that it has offered Moscow a "serious diplomatic path" out of the crisis. Private messages…

Persistently high food prices may spark social unrest

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INT

Cereal grains such as wheat provide essential sustenance to humans and animals; price surges raise risks of food crises

Fear of Russia mutes South Caucasus responses

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CAUCASUS

Georgia's evolving position on the conflict has been confused: a refusal to support sanctions followed by a sudden application for EU membership. Armenia's moral qualms are…

Prospects for Russian foreign policy to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for Russian foreign policy to end-2022.

EU will avoid new Russia sanctions as long as it can

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EU/RUSSIA

EU responses to Russian actions around Ukraine.

US-Cypriot warming may restart Turkish gas prospecting

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CYPRUS

This is the most significant upgrade in US-Cyprus relations since the ban was imposed in 1987, and marks a definitive shift for Cyprus from Russia to the West. However, the…

Prospects for Azerbaijan-Armenia peace deal are remote

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ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The confrontation is the first such incident since the EU civilian mission in Armenia (EUMA) was launched on February 20 to observe the border from the Armenian side. It was the…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

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EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…